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III. Health

Informing decision-making in health using seasonal climate outlooks

1 The PI-CPP project was managed by Janita Pahalad and the pilot projects were

implemented by Dr Yahya Abawi with the assistance of Drs Sunil Dutta, Simon White

and David McClymont.

2. UNDP Millennium Development Goals #6: Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other

diseases

3. Roll Back Malaria Cabinet Project, Malaria Early Warning Systems – A framework

for Field Research in Africa, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland, 2001.

4. Better surveillance key to malaria early warning systems

http://www.scidev.net/en/

opinions/better-surveillance-key-to-malaria-early-warning-s.html

5. ‘Success in the Solomon Islands’, World Health, May 1998.

6. World Malaria Report 2011.

7. Millennium Development Goals Progress Report For Solomon Islands 2010, UNDP

http://www.undp.org.fj/pdf/Final_SI_MDG.pdf.

8. COMP partner countries are the Cook Islands, Fiji, Kiribati, Niue, Papua New Guinea,

Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tonga, Tuvalu and Vanuatu.

The Heat Health Warning System as an example of climate services at the

Deutscher Wetterdienst

1. IPCC, 2012: ‘Summary for Policymakers’. In: Managing the Risks of Extreme

Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation [Field, C.B., V. Barros,

T.F. Stocker, D. Qin, D.J. Dokken, K.L. Ebi, M.D. Mastrandrea, K.J. Mach, G.-K.

Plattner, S.K. Allen, M. Tignor, and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. A Special Report of Working

Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge

University Press, Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, USA, pp. 1-19.

2. The Federal Government, 2008: German Strategy for Adaptation to climate Change

adopted by the German federal cabinet on 17th December 2008

http://www.bmu.de/

english/climate/downloads/doc/42841.php

3. Die Bundesregierung, 2011: Aktionsplan Anpassung der Deutschen

Anpassungsstrategie an den Klimawandel – vom Bundeskabinett am 31. August 2011

beschlossen (German only).

http://www.bmu.de/files/pdfs/allgemein/application/pdf/aktionsplan_anpassung_

klimawandel_bf.pdf

4. Koppe, 2009: ‘The Heat Health Warning System of the German Meteorological

Service’. In UMID – UmweltMedizinischerInformationsDienst, No. 3/2009, ISSN

1862-4111(Print), ISSN 1862-4189 (Internet)

http://www.umweltbundesamt.de/umid/archiv/umid0309-e.pdf

5. Koppe, C. and Jendritzky, G. (2004): Die Auswirkungen der Hitzewelle 2003 auf

die Mortalität in Baden-Württemberg [Impacts of the 2003 heat wave on mortality in

Baden- Württemberg], Baden-Württemberg Ministry for Social Affairs], Stuttgart.

6. Becker, Paul; Bucher, Klaus; Jendritzky, Gerd; Koppe, Christina, 2005: ‘Germany’s

Heat-Health Warning System’. Annalen der Meteorologie 41, p.279-281.

7. Koppe, Christina; Jendritzky, Gerd, 2005: ‘Inclusion of short-term adaptation to

thermal stresses in a heat load warning procedure’. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, Vol.

14, No. 2, 271-278 (April 2005)

8. Jendritzky G (1990): ‘Methodik zur räumlichen Bewertung der thermischen

Komponente im Bioklima des Menschen – Fortgeschriebenes Klima-Michel- Modell’.

Beitr.Akademie f. Raumforschung u. Landesplanung 114:7-69.

Staiger, Henning; Laschewski, Gudrun; Grätz, Angelika; 2012: ‘The perceived temperature

– a versatile index for the assessment of the human thermal environment. Part A: scientific

basics’. International Journal of biometeorology, Volume 56, Number 1, Pages 165-176

9. Federal Law Gazette, 2009: ‘Law on the Deutscher Wetterdienst’, Federal Law

Gazette, p. 2424. §4(1)1

10. Ibid, §6(2)

11. Früh, B. et. al, 2011: ‘Estimation of Climate-Change Impacts on the Urban Heat

Load Using an UrbanClimate Model and Regional Climate Projections’. Journal of

Applied Meteorology and Climatology, Vol. 50, DOI: 10.1175/2010JAMC2377.1

Früh, Barbara ; Koßmann, Meinolf ; Roos, Marita (Hrsg.: Deutscher Wetterdienst):

‘Frankfurt am Main im Klimawandel – Eine Untersuchung zur städtischen

Wärmebelastung’. Offenbach am Main: Selbstverlag des Deutschen Wetterdienstes,

2011.(Berichte des Deutschen Wetterdienstes ; 237) ISBN 978-3-88148-453-4 http://

nbn-resolving.de/urn

:nbn:de:101:1-201106095249

Further reading:

Hübler, Michael, and Klepper, Gernot, 2007: Kosten desKlimawandels - Die Wirkung

steigender Temperaturen aufGesundheit und Leistungsfähigkeit. Herausgeber: WWF

Deutschland, Frankfurt am Main

http://www.wwf.de/fileadmin/fm-wwf/Publikationen-PDF/Kosten_des_

Klimawandels_Gesundheitsstudie.pdf

Koppe, Christina, 2005: Gesundheitsrelevante Bewertung von thermischer Belastung

unter Berücksichtigung der kurzfristigen Anpassung der Bevölkerung an die lokalen

Witterungsverhältnisse. Berichte des Deutschen Wetterdienstes 226. Offenbach am Main.

World Health Organization, 2007: Improving Public Health Responses to Extreme

Weather/ Heat-Waves – EuroHEAT. Meeting Report, Bonn, Germany, 22-23 March, 2007

http://www.euro.who.int/__data/assets/pdf_file/0018/112473/E91350.pdf

Climate implications of atmospheric warming due to aerosol black carbon over the

Indian region

1. Satheesh, S.K., Moorthy, K.K., Babu, S.S., V. Vinoj and C.B.S.Dutt, ‘Climate

implications of large warming by elevated aerosol over India’, Geophysical Research

Letters, 35, L19809, doi: 10.1029/2008GL034944, 2008.

2. Ackerman, A .S., Toon, O. B., Stevens, D. E., Heymsfield, A. J., Ramanathan, V.,

Welton, E. J., ‘Reduction of tropical cloudiness by soot’, Science, 288, 1042-1047, 2000.

3. Menon, S., Hansen, J., Nazarenko, L., and Luo, Y. ‘Climate effects of black carbon

aerosols in china and India’. Science, 297(5590), 2250-2253, 2002.

Ramanathan, V., et al., 2005. ‘Atmospheric brown clouds: Impacts on South Asian

climate and hydrological cycle’, Proc. of National Academy of Sciences. U.S.A., 102,

5326-5333, 2005.

4. Lau, K.-M., et al., ‘Asian summer monsoon anomalies induced by aerosol direct

forcing: The role of the Tibetan Plateau’. Climate Dynamics, 26, 855–864, 2006.

5. Chameides et. al., ‘Case study of the effects of atmospheric aerosols and regional

haze on agriculture: An opportunity to enhance crop yields in China through

emission controls?’, Proc. of National Academy of Sciences, 96, 13626-13633, 1999.

6. E.g. Nair, V. S., F. Solmon, F. Giorgi, L. Mariotti, S. S. Babu, and K. K. Moorthy,

‘Simulation of South Asian aerosols for regional climate studies’, Journal of

Geophysical Research., 117, D04209, doi:10.1029/2011JD016711, 2012.

7. Babu, S.S. and Moorthy, K.K., ‘Anthropogenic impact on aerosol Black Carbon

mass concentration at a Tropical coastal station: A case Study’, Current Science, 81,

1208-1214, 2001.

Babu, S.S. and Moorthy, K.K.,’ Aerosol Black Carbon over a Tropical Coastal

Station in India’, Geophysical Research Letters, 29(23), 2098, 13-1 to 13-4,

doi:10.1029/2002GL015662, 2002

8. Babu, S.S., S.K. Satheesh and Moorthy, K.K., ‘Aerosol Radiative forcing due to

Enhanced Black carbon at an urban site in India’, Geophysical Research Letters,

29(18), 10.1029/ 2002GL015179, 27-1 to 27-4, 2002

9. Moorthy, K.K., Babu, S.S., S. V. S. Kumar, P. K. Gupta, and B. S. Gera,

‘Altitude profiles of aerosol BC, derived from aircraft measurements over an

inland urban location in India’, Geophysical Research Letters, 31, L22103, doi:

10.1029/2004GL021336, 2004

Ganguly D., et al., ‘Single scattering albedo of aerosols over the central India: Implications for

the regional aerosol radiative forcing’, Geophysical Research Letters., 32, L18803, 2005.

Moorthy, K.K, Babu, S.S., K.V.S Badarinath , S. V. S. Kumar, T.R. Kiranchand and Y.

N. Ahmed, ‘Latitudinal Distribution of Aerosol Black Carbon and its mass fraction to

composite aerosols over peninsular India during winter season’, Geophysical Research

Letters, 34, L08802, doi:10.1029/2006GL029150, 2007.

10. Nair, V.S, Moorthy, K.K, D. P. Alappattu, P. K. Kunhikrishnan, S. George, P. Nair,

Babu, S.S., B. Abish, S.K. Satheesh, S. N. Tripathi, K. Niranjan, B L Madhavan, V

Srikant, C B S Dutt, K.V.S. Badrinath, and R Ramakrishna Reddy, ‘Wintertime aerosol

characteristics over the Indo Gangetic Plain (IGP): Impacts of local boundary layer

processes and long-range transport’, Journal of Geophysical Research, 112, D13205,

doi: 10.1029/2006JD008099, 2007

Niranjan, K., et al., ‘Aerosol physical properties and Radiative forcing at the outflow

region from the Indo-Gangetic plains during typical clear and hazy periods of

wintertime’, Geophysical Research Letters, 34, L19805, 2007.

11. Ram, K., M. M. Sarin, and S. N. Tripathi, ‘A 1 year record of carbonaceous aerosols from

an urban site in the Indo-Gangetic Plain: Characterization, sources, and temporal variability’,

Journal of Geophysical Research, 115, D24313, doi: 10.1029/2010JD014188, 2010.

12. Babu, S.S., Moorthy, K.K., and S.K. Satheesh, ‘Aerosol Black Carbon over Arabian

Sea during Inter Monsoon and Summer Monsoon Season’s, Geophysical Research

Letters, Vol.31, L06104, doi10.1029/2003GL018716, 2004.

13. Moorthy, K. K., V. S. Nair, S. S. Babu, and S. K. Satheesh, ‘Spatial and vertical

heterogeneities in aerosol properties over oceanic regions around India: Implications for

radiative forcing’, Quarterly Journal of Royal Meteorological Society, 135, 2131–2145,

doi:10.1002/qj.525, 2009.

Babu, S. S., M. M. Gogoi, V. H. A. Kumar, V. S. Nair, and K. K. Moorthy, ‘Radiative

properties of Bay of Bengal aerosols: Spatial distinctiveness and source impacts’,

Journal of Geophysical Research, 117, D06213, doi:10.1029/2011JD017355, 2012.

14. Moorthy, K. K., et al., ‘Wintertime spatial characteristics of boundary layer

aerosols over peninsular India’, Journal of Geophysical Research., 110, D08207,

doi:10.1029/2004JD005520, 2005.

15. Babu, S.S., S. K. Satheesh, Moorthy, K.K., C. B. S. Dutt, V.S. Nair, D. P Alappattu

and P. K. Kunhikrishnan, ‘Aircraft Measurements of Aerosol Black carbon from a

coastal location in the north-east part of peninsular India during ICARB’, Journal of

Earth System Science, Vol.117,S1,263-271, 2008.

16. Satheesh et al., 2008 op cit.

17. Satheesh et al., 2008 op cit.

18. Babu, S.S., K. K. Moorthy, R. K. Manchanda, P. R. Sinha , S. K. Satheesh,

D. P. Vajja, S. Srinivasan, V. H. A. Kumar, ‘Free tropospheric black carbon

aerosol measurements using high altitude balloon: Do BC layers build ‘their

own homes’ up in the atmosphere?’, Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L08803,

doi:10.1029/2011GL046654, 2011.

19. Menon, S., D. Koch, G. Beig, S. Sahu, J. Fasullo, and D. Orlikowski, ‘Black carbon

aerosols and the third polar ice cap’, Atmospheric Chemistry Physics., 10, 4559–

4571, doi:10.5194/acp-10-4559-2010, 2010.

20. Babu, S. S., et al., ‘High altitude (~ 4520 m amsl) measurements of

black carbon aerosols over western trans-Himalayas: Seasonal heterogeneity

and source apportionment’, Journal of Geophysical Research, 116, D24201,

doi:10.1029/2011JD016722, 2011.

Further reading:

Beegum, S. N., Moorthy, K.K., Babu, S.S., S.K. Satheesh, V. Vinoj, K.V.S. Badarinath,

P.D. Safai, P.C.S. Devara, Sacchidanand Singh, Vinod, U.C. Dumka, P. Pant,

‘Spatial distribution of aerosol black carbon over India during pre-monsoon season’,

Atmospheric Environment 43, 1071–1078, 2009.

Ming, J., Xiao, C., Cachier, H., Qin, D., Qin, X, Li, Z., Pu, J., ‘Black Carbon (BC) in

the snow of glaciers in west China and its potential effects on albedos’, Atmospheric

Research, 92, 114–123, 2009.

Nair, V. S., Babu, S.S. and Moorthy, K.K., ‘Aerosol characteristics in the marine

Notes and References