[
] 205
Legal aspects may be particularly important when
weather modification activities are performed in the prox-
imity of borders between different countries. However, any
legal system aimed at promoting or regulating weather
modification must recognize that scientific knowledge is
still incomplete.
The implications of any projected long-term weather
modification operation on ecosystems need to be assessed.
Such studies could reveal changes that need to be taken
into account. During the operational period, monitoring of
possible environmental effects should be undertaken as a
check against anticipated impacts.
Summary statement and recommendations
To answer the need for more water and less hail in many
regions of the world, some progress has been made during
the past 10 years in the science and technology of weather
modification. Large numbers of programmes in fog disper-
sion, rain, snow enhancement and hail suppression are in
operation. Several research experimental programmes are
supported in some countries and include randomized
statistical evaluations. Improved observational facilities,
computer capabilities, numerical models and understand-
ing now permit more detailed examination of clouds and
precipitation processes than ever before, and significant
advances are consequently possible. New technologies and
methods are starting to be applied and will help to lead to
further understanding and development in this field.
In the light of this review of the status of weather modi-
fication, the following recommendations are made to
interested Members of WMO:
(a) Cloud, fog and precipitation climatologies should be
established in all countries as vital information for
weather modification and water resource studies and
operations
(b) Operational cloud-seeding projects should be strength-
ened by allowing an independent evaluation of the
results of seeding. This should include measurements
of physical response variables and a randomized statis-
tical component
(c) Education and training in cloud physics, cloud chem-
istry, and other associated sciences should be an
essential component of weather modification projects.
Where the necessary capacity does not exist, advantage
should be taken of facilities of other Members
(d) It is essential that basic measurements to support and
evaluate the seeding material and seeding hypothesis
proposed for any weather modification experiments be
conducted before and during the project
(e) Weather modification programmes are encouraged to
utilize new observational tools and numerical modelling
capabilities in the design, guidance and evaluations of
field projects.
While some Members may not have access or resources to
implement these technologies, collaboration between
Member States (e.g. multinational field programmes, inde-
pendent expert evaluations, education, etc.) are encouraged
that could provide the necessary resources for implement-
ing these technologies.
Guidelines for advice and assistance related to the
planning of weather modification activities
1. These guidelines are addressed to Members requesting
advice or assistance on weather modification activities.
They include recommendations that are based on
present knowledge gained through the results of world-
wide theoretical studies as well as laboratory and field
experiments. A synthesis of the main basic concepts
and main results obtained in the weather modification
programmes is given in the WMO Statement on the
Status of Weather Modification. This Statement was
revised during the twentieth session of the Executive
Council Panel of Experts/CAS Working Group on
Physics and Chemistry of Clouds and Weather
Modification Research and was approved by the fifty-
third session of the Executive Council in June 2001
2. Members wishing to develop activities in the field of
weather modification should be aware that research
and operational applications are still under develop-
ment
It should not be ignored that under certain condi-
tions, seeding may be ineffective or may even enhance
an undesirable effect (increase of hail, reduction in
rain). However, properly designed and conducted
projects seek to detect and minimize such adverse
effects. It is recognized that scientific evaluation may
be a difficult task, but this is the only way presently
known to avoid negative results, quantify positive
economic effects and allow improvements in the under-
standing and methodology that is used. The revised
WMO Statement on the Status of Weather Modification
referred to in paragraph 1 distinguishes the various
types of weather modification and the degree of confi-
dence necessary to obtain the desired effect from cloud
seeding. The confidence level is very high for opera-
tional dissipation of supercooled fog and moderate for
increasing snowfall from orographic clouds. The confi-
dence level is not high for suppressing hail.
3. WMO recommends that operational cloud seeding
projects for precipitation modification be designed to
allow evaluation of the results of seeding through phys-
ical measurements and statistical controls associated
with some randomization of the seeding events. The
physical measurements should include characterization
of the seeding material. Care should be taken to engage
qualified operators. The objective evaluation should
be performed by a group independent of the opera-
tional one. Such programmes should be planned on a
longduration basis because precipitation variability is
generally much greater than the increases or decreases
claimed for artificial weather modification. The use of




