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[

] 240

C

ommunities

disaster adaptations addressing global warming and

climate change impacts. Presenting scenarios based

on quantitative simulation assessments contributes to

adaptation measures for the heat island phenomenon

and the downpours.

Dr. Satoru Iizuka of Nagoya University is develop-

ing a new sophisticated downscaling model that is

capable of analysing weather and climate from regional/

urban scales to building scale. He performs sensitivity

analyses, impact evaluations and future projections of

urban heat islands, extremely hot days and downpours

using this model. He examines how to plan adaptation

to these environmental problems in his subject areas,

Nagoya city and Tajimi city.

Professor Seigo Nasu of the Kochi University of

Technology aims to develop an integrated simulation

model for natural and social phenomena such as the

water cycle, use and environment, which considers the

effects of climate change. The target is to offer quan-

titative information which contributes to adaptation

measures for changing water resource management

in Shikoku region, which includes four prefectures

and the Yoshino River. Having discussed the project

with hundreds of ordinary citizens and the other local

stakeholders, he has already accomplished a ‘civic-

conscious structure logic model’ which can assess

climate change impacts on the socio-economy and

civic-consciousness, and improved the model by inte-

grating the other economic impact assessment model.

Professor Teruyuki Nakajima of the University of

Tokyo is developing a system to estimate the source

and generation of carbon dioxide and air pollutants. It

is implemented over the next-generation global atmos-

Japan side areas in Toyama Prefecture, which has experienced signif-

icant warming impacts.

Dr Tomohito Yamada of Hokkaido University aims to develop

downscaling methods for flood control and water utilization, and

to develop software to refer hydrological and weather informa-

tion obtained through the project for climate change adaptation

measures. His subject area is the northernmost prefecture in Japan,

Hokkaido, where water resource may be drastically changed, such

as a decrease in snowfall or of the melting season.

Dr Motoki Nishimori of the National Institute for Agro-

Environmental Sciences integrally implements statistical

downscaling and developments of simulation technologies for

climate change adaptations. These are essential for planning stra-

tegic adaptation estimations for climate change and environmental

policies in his subject area, Kochi Prefecture, which has complex

topography and various land use.

Research sub-programmes – urban area

Dr Koji Dairaku of the National Research Institute for Earth Science

and Disaster Prevention focuses on research and development of

a simulation technique which provides scientific knowledge for

local adaptation planning and reviewing. The target is the Tokyo

metropolitan area, and the goal is to enable adaptation to low-carbon

society and climate change. Dr Dairaku digitalized the Regional

Planning Atlas, which covered the most of his target area since 1888,

and developed a data set from floods damage statistics (1961-2008)

for flood risk assessment. This enabled him to quantify deforesta-

tion and urban area expansion and calculate flood information in

the Tokyo metropolitan area.

Dr Keiko Takahashi of JAMSTEC is developing a detailed model

which duplicates and predicts the effects of heat islands, local

downpour in urban areas and inland floods in her subject areas,

the Tokyo metropolitan area and Kawasaki city. The model is for

Ground monitoring by Prof. Ninomiya’s sub-programme to validate the accuracy of their models

Image: RECCA