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30 per cent of Australia’s consumptive use — and more

than double this in Western Australia. But as surface water

supplies run critically low during drought, groundwater

use increases significantly.

While groundwater has vast potential and is recognized

as a major strategic asset, nobody has a clear idea of its

exact size, how much recharge is occurring or how long it

takes to recharge. The timescales involved in both recharge

and groundwater flow can be extremely long, stretching

over hundreds of years to hundreds of thousands of years.

For Australia’s desert and arid regions, underground

resources such as the Great Artesian Basin (GAB) provide

the only reliable source of fresh water. GAB is one of

the largest and deepest artesian basins in the world and

stretches over 1.7 million square kilometres. But as the

demand for water grows, the worry is that drawdowns on

GAB and other essential water resources across Australia

may be irreversible.

To help inform sustainable planning and management,

the Australian Government directed CSIRO to undertake

robust scientific estimates of current and future water use

in most of the country’s major water systems. Between

2007 and 2010 sustainable yields projects were conducted

in four key regions: the Murray-Darling basin, northern

Australia, Tasmania and south-west Western Australia.

CSIRO scientists examined the likely changes to surface

and groundwater availability during climate change, includ-

ing various drying and wetting climate scenarios. It was a

comprehensive scientific assessment of water yields and

provided an important analytical framework for national

water policy decisions.

Various other important initiatives have been instigated

over the past decade, including the national Groundwater

Action Plan to help explore knowledge gaps through

extensive hydrogeological investigations, and groundwa-

ter capacity-building through the establishment of the

NCGRT. The development of national modelling guidelines

was another key part of a coordinated effort to help better

understand our groundwater systems.

It is no coincidence that all these initiatives were put into

place during the brutal millennium drought. This was a time

when floodplains dried and cracked and farmers watched

their land transformed into dustbowls. The Murray-Darling

basin dropped to just 25 per cent of capacity, placing huge

stress on ecosystems and killing entire forests.

Major cities faced the unthinkable prospect of water

supplies running out. This prompted massive capital

investment in large-scale desalination plants around the

nation — plants that were soon idle as the drought broke

to be replaced by floods.

As the crisis eased so did the urgency for greater

knowledge and more effective management systems for

sustainable water use in future droughts. Policy impera-

tives and funding mirrored the peaks, ebbs and flows of

our extreme weather.

The National Water Commission, established during the

millennium drought, closed in December 2014. But that same

summer more than 150 long-standing weather records were

broken across Australia with new higher temperatures and

longer dry spells. There is clearly no room for complacency

in Australia if we are to protect our water resources and resist

further desertification.

Managing the Murray-Darling basin

The Murray-Darling basin is the agricultural jewel in Australia’s vast,

mostly nutrient-poor land mass. Stretching over 1.06 million square

kilometres — 14 per cent of Australia — it delivers 40 per cent of the

nation’s total agricultural value worth about $A15 billion a year.

While it covers a wide range of climatic and natural environments,

most of the basin is classified as arid or semi-arid. Since the 1900s

extraction and diversion of water has fuelled industrial growth, but

at a cost. Considerable pressure has been placed on the natural

environment resulting in a deterioration in the health of the river

system. As such, it is extremely vulnerable to climate change.

As concern over its future mounted at the height of the millennium

drought, CSIRO was commissioned to oversee the largest ever

technical study of the basin. The 2007/08 Murray-Darling Basin

Sustainable Yields Project found that total flow at the Murray mouth

had been reduced by 61 per cent, causing it to cease flowing into the

sea 40 per cent of the time, compared to just 1 per cent before water

resource development. Heavy groundwater use in the basin was also

found to be unsustainable in seven out of 20 irrigated areas.

The Murray-Darling Basin Authority set out to address these

concerns in its historic national basin plan which was signed into

law in 2012. The plan aims to return a minimum 2,750 gigalitres a

year back to the river system and for the first time introduces a limit

on groundwater use across the basin with consistent management

arrangements for all groundwater resources.

Total groundwater sustainable diversion limits have been set at

3,334 gigalitres a year, which includes a potential 984-gigalitre

increase in the annual extraction limit from areas with relatively low

levels of development.

Image: istock.com/muchemistry

There is no room for complacency if Australia is to protect its water

resources and resist further desertification

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