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D

isaster

R

isk

R

eduction

stream in the Layou Valley and raised several health concerns. The

potential impacts of the prevailing climatic conditions on the water

levels in the lake and the resulting instability of the dam were not

assessed prior to the failure and, as a result, no remote monitoring

of water levels in Miracle Lake were implemented. Hence, no early

warning system was in place to warn residents in the event of the

dam failing. Following the recommendations contained in a post-

assessment report of the event performed by CIMH, the Government

of Dominica is in the process of establishing a monitoring and early

warning system for the watershed.

Following the severe drought of experienced in the Caribbean from

the second half of 2009 through the first half of 2010, the Caribbean

Disaster Emergency Management Agency (CDEMA) formally recog-

nized drought as one of its supported natural disasters. The drought

caused increased food prices in the English-speaking Caribbean. The

onset of the drought was not forecast due in part to (i) the lack of

operational regional and national drought forecasting tools and (ii)

limited regional and national climate data sharing. Prior to the onset

of the drought, no formal regional drought forecasting tools were

being routinely applied across the region. The Caribbean Precipitation

Outlook, which is available to the public on the CIMH website (www.

cimh.edu.bb/?p=precipoutlook)

, provides some guidance on the like-

lihood of above, below and normal rainfall which, if used properly,

gives some indication of possible drought conditions over the coming

three month period. In response to the evolving drought condi-

tions and the need for information to support national responses,

the CIMH operationalized its Caribbean Drought and Precipitation

Monitoring Network (CDPMN) that was in development well ahead

of its scheduled operational date. The tool proved to be extremely

useful at forecasting the intensity and duration of the event. The tool

continues to be used routinely to assess the state of rainfall across the

region and therefore informs on both drought and locations of likely

excess rainfall that could indicate an increased likelihood

of flooding across the region. Both tools, along with other

tools, are being used to inform the recently re-estab-

lished Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum which brings

together the region’s climate scientists and international

experts (including NOAA) to produce seasonal climate

forecasts which are then tailored for specific economic

sectors in the region including disaster risk reduction.

Integration of national and regional resources

to develop new robust early warning decision

support tools

Although the English-speaking Caribbean has limited

resources to tackle many of its climate risks, the

increasing use of technology in the region coupled

with increasing donor support has led to new innova-

tive approaches to addressing disaster risk reduction

at the local national and regional levels. The CIMH is

involved in several of these new initiatives including

among others: (i) the Enhancing Resilience to Reduce

Vulnerability in the Caribbean funded by the Government

of Italy and executed by the United Nations Development

Programme Office for Barbados and the Organization of

Eastern Caribbean States and (ii) the Japan International

Cooperation Agency Caribbean Disaster Management

Project Phase 2.

Component 1 of the ERC project adapts the Italian

Civil Protection web-based Dewetra Platform to the

Caribbean approach to disaster risk reduction by estab-

lishing a network of real-time decision support centres to

inform early warning and post disaster recovery related

to hydro-meteorological events. The platform integrates

Rainfall triggered landslides on Saint Lucia following the passage of Hurricane Tomas (October 2010)

Image: CIMH