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O
bserving
, P
redicting
and
P
rojecting
C
limate
C
onditions
artificial snow can compensate somewhat during warm
and snowless winters.
An opinion poll carried out in these two villages showed
that about 70 per cent of adult inhabitants feel well
informed about climate change. However, special ques-
tionnaires distributed in regional schools indicated that
the sample of 14 to 15 years old adolescents were unsatis-
fied with their information level on climate change.
Simplified but nevertheless correct information and
cooperation was at the centre of the concept from the start.
Start-up meetings were held in each of the municipalities
and partner schools. Those meetings, held in January
2006, offered lectures presented in an understandable
scientific language, keeping in mind scientific correctness
and sufficient time for personal thoughts, discussions and
questions. In July 2006 three science days were organ-
ized in the project region. Public scientific lectures and
informative posters were combined with talks from local
authorities and supplemented by a ‘scientific walk’ to the
high mountain Sonnblick Observatory (3106 metres).
This involves a walk through climate sensitive vegetation
zones near the glacier region up to the high alpine area.
Scientific knowledge of climatology, glaciology, tree-ring
research, biology, history and sociology were merged with
local expertise to produce the experience.
Since glaciers constitute highly visible evidence of
climate warming a glacier trail has been constructed in
cooperation with the alpine club Naturfreunde. This
Gletscherlehrpfad Goldbergkees
guides participants
through the history of climate and glaciers. Thirteen
information boards have been installed to form a trail,
which runs between 2,190 and 2,395 metres above sea
level, to document long-term glacier retreat and its rela-
tionship to climate.
Special partnerships have been established between
the project team and schools to promote the idea of
‘cognition = research + education’.
8
Climate change
topics have been integrated with the curriculums of
more than one field of study including: physics and
chemistry, geography and economy, history, biology,
language courses and even music. Besides dealing with
ecological and economical questions students gained
insight into the work and methods of scientists. A
follow-up effect is also expected with the transfer of
this newly acquired climate change awareness from the
school children to their families.
Another good example how to raise awareness on
climate change in school pupils is demonstrated by
the efforts of the children of Hauptschule Rauris. On
the occasion of the annual
Rauriser Literaturtage
they
presented their thoughts and attitudes on climate
change in the form of songs, stories and poems.
During the running time of the
A Tale of Two Valleys
study local scenarios were developed and presented
to the citizens of Rauris and Flattach. The majority of
residents favoured a scenario based on sustainability.
However, on the other hand, the majority of residents
did not believe that the sustainability scenario was the
one likely to be selected.
mass loss for Wurtenkees. On average Wurtenkees loses about 1 metre
(mean over total glacier size) of ice per year under the present climate.
As maximum ice thickness for this glacier is less than 80 metres, the
vanishing of most of the glacier area is to be expected within a few
decades.
Several studies
5
were carried out to understand the climate-
glacier mass balance relationship for the glaciers of the Alps and
the Sonnblick region in particular. It was shown that only the
summer season (melting of snow and ice) and not the winter season
(accumulation of snow) estimates affects annual net balance. Such
studies have shown that only summer balance is highly correlated to
annual net balance and that variability of summer balance is much
higher compared to winter balance. However, it has to be taken into
account that this result is derived from observations going back only
as far as 1983 (a period with strong glacier retreat) and that in earlier
periods this relationship may well have been different.
An important discussion in Alpine glaciology refers to the question
of the contribution of such glaciers to river flow. This was studied in
the small catchment area of Goldbergkees (close to Sonnblick),
6
as
well as in the much larger catchment area of Upper Pinzgau (river
Salzach). Upper Pinzgau covers about 600 square kilometres, of
which 5 per cent is glacierized. Detailed modelling approaches
7
show
that for a year with average climate conditions the contribution of
glaciers to the river flow of the main rivers of the Alps is negligible.
However, under climate conditions measured in 2003 the contribu-
tion of glaciers to the river flow of larger rivers was significant and
ranged up to 70 per cent in August 2003 for the Salzach in Upper
Pinzgau. Because 2003 can be used as a realistic scenario for future
climate states (up to around 2100) the importance of the glaciers to
river flow can be easily estimated. If glaciers vanish in the future we
can expect a significant deficit for the large rivers of the Alps, as well
as a net loss of discharge for smaller rivers.
Local climate information for two central Alpine valleys in an
inter- and trans-disciplinary dialogue
Events such as the latest International Scientific Congress on
Climate Change in Copenhagen have roused public knowledge
of climate change to some extent. However, do people really feel
sufficiently informed and what are their opinions and attitudes on
climate change?
A Tale of two Valleys – the contrary strategies in two
neighboring Alpine valleys to deal with climate variability and climate
change
, an Austrian interdisciplinary research project on regional
climate change
(www.zamg.ac.at/a-tale-of-two-valleys) combined
the local knowledge of people in region and scientists to create an
overall picture of the perception of climate change. Schools and
selected stakeholders have also formed part of the project team to
cover the aspects of long-term climate variability, natural dangers
and risks, landscape and land-use, tourism, employment and
income, demography, mobility, education and gender.
Two small municipalities confronted with regional climate change
impacts decided to develop local scenarios in response. Income
for both municipalities is largely dependent on winter tourism.
However, the dominant touristic concepts are somewhat contradic-
tory. The first concept is a glacier ski resort called Mölltaler Gletscher
in Flattach (1,373 inhabitants and an employment rate of 47 per
cent). This clashes with the other idea of a national park concept and
a fairly small ‘family and 50+ skiing region’ in Rauris (3,107 inhab-
itants and an employment rate of 45 per cent). Touristic income
and employment bears a close relation to snow availability, although