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NCC, Hubei Meteorological Bureau and Chongqing Meteorological
Bureau, which is targeted to provide climate information for the Three
Gorges project. In 2009, three 100-metre gradient tower observation
stations, 12 visibility observation stations and 15 multi-variable auto-
matic weather observation stations were added in response to the need
for safe operation of the Three Gorges project.
Based on the data provided by the local climate monitoring system of
the Three Gorges reservoir area, an annual monitoring report including
general climate characteristics, major disasters and their impacts has
been produced since 1996. Climate monitoring reports for four seasons
have been added since 2000. In 2005, a direct instant response system
for climate events and meteorological disasters in the Three Gorges
reservoir area was established, with the addition of a
Special Report on
Eco-environmental Monitoring of the Three Gorges Project (Express)
to issue
timely information on the occurrence and impacts of climate disasters.
Up to July 2012, NCC CMA has published 16 issues of the
Climate
Monitoring Bulletin of the Three Gorges Project,
45 issues of the
Local Climate
Monitoring Quarterly Report of the Three Gorges Project and 226 issues of the
Special Report on Eco-Environment Monitoring of the Three Gorges Project.
In response to the influence of future climate change on the safe opera-
tion of the Three Gorges project, expected changes of the mean climate
and extreme climate events in the Three Gorges during 2015 to 2050
were projected based on the results of global and regional climatemodels.
Experiences
Different design philosophies, project characteristics and functions of
large engineering projects have different sensitivities to climate change
and extreme events. We need to build on the lessons learned from our
experience of working with climate adaptation on large engineering
projects.
First, the right climate data and information is needed to support
decision- and policy-making.
Descriptions of current and future climate and impacts are necessary,
but often insufficient. The data and information must be relevant, inter-
preted in the context of the decision required and able to be integrated
with other relevant information within the decision- or policy-making
processes.
The climate services needed for large engineering projects require
the continuous assessment of climate information during the different
stages of confirmation, construction and operation of large engineer-
ing projects. Users’ needs for the climate information change during
different stages. In order to meet users’ demands, climate
monitoring, impact assessment, adaptation options and
climate information publishing need to be adjusted based
on user feedback.
Climate monitoring data are the basis of climate serv-
ices for large engineering projects. If existing climate
monitoring can’t fully meet the climate service demands
of these projects, intensive climate observation should
be conducted to meet their construction and operation
requirements. This can be approached from the observa-
tion network layout, observation elements and frequency.
The timescale of climate services for large engineering
projects covers pre-evaluation, real-time evaluation and
projection. The content includes environmental impact
and risk assessment before project creation; assessment
during the construction and operation; the influence
of regional climate on the security of large engineer-
ing projects; and adaption measures to climate change.
Therefore, assessment methods should be diversified for
different timescales and content.
Experience has also shown that sustained engagement
of users and providers of climate information, supporting
continuous learning and sharing, offers the potential for
effectively addressing limitations. This engagement can
promote continuous improvements in products and their
delivery informed by an understanding of users’ needs and
science capabilities and developments (both of which are
continually evolving).
Remaining challenges and continuing efforts
Climate data and information is traditionally targeted to
describe past, present and – in the case of scenarios and
projections – future climates. These are essential, but in
the case of supporting adaptation decision-making, they
can fall short of meeting requirements and lead to inac-
tion. Addressing this challenge is easier said than done,
but is increasingly being recognized as necessary for
successful adaptation.
With rapid economic growth, the demand for climate
services among large engineering projects in China is
constantly increasing. We should apply our successful
experiences into other fields by summarizing past climate
service practice on large engineering projects.
There is limited understanding of the nature and capaci-
ties of the evolving, diverse and growing user communities,
especially the decision- and policy-making communities.
There is a need to improve understanding of what climate
data and information are needed and how they can inform
decision-making and policy development processes, espe-
cially when faced with the associated uncertainties and
complexities of climate vulnerabilities and risks, and adap-
tation responses.
Understanding is also limited when it comes to the real
needs of user communities as they strive to understand
vulnerabilities and risks and to assess, implement and
evaluate adaptation responses. Sustained engagement is
needed among users and providers of climate information,
reflecting the evolving nature and scope of users and their
needs and the updating of available climate information.
Image: CMA
Local climate observation station near the Three Gorges Reservoir Area