Climate Exchange

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II: Water
Partnerships on water resource management in France
1. Habets, F., Boone, A., Champeaux, J.-L., Etchevers, P., Franchistéguy, L., Leblois, E.,
Ledoux, E., Le Moigne, P., Martin, E., Morel, S., Noilhan, J., Quintana Segui, P., Rousset-
Regimbeau, F. et Viennot, P. (2008), ‘he SAFRAN-ISBA-MODCOU hydrometeorological
model applied over France’. Journal of Geophysical Research, vol. 113, p. D06 113.
2. Soubeyroux, J.-M., Vidal, J.-P., Baillon, M, Blanchard, M., Ceron, J.-P.,
Franchistéguy, L., Regimbeau, F., Martin, E., Vincendon, C.(2010), ‘Caractérisation
et prévision des sécheresses et étiages en France à partir de la chaîne
hydrométéorologique Safran-Isba-Modcou’, La Houille Blanche, N°5, pp. 30-39,
3. Singla, S., Céron, J.P., Martin, E., Regimbeau, F., Déqué, M., Habets, F., Vidal,
J.-P. ‘Predictability of soil moisture and river flows over France for the spring season’
(2012) Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 16 (1), pp. 201-216.
4.
5. Caballero Y., Morel S., Habets F., Noilhan J, Le Moigne P., Lehenaff A., Boone A.,
2007, ‘Hydrological sensitivity of the Adour Garonne river basin to climate change’,
Water Resources, Water Resources Research, 43, W07448
Ducharne, A., Sauquet, E., Habets, F., Déqué, M., Gascoin, S., Hachour, A., Martin, E.,
Oudin, L., Pagé, C., Terray, L., Thiery, D., Viennot, P. ‘Potential evolution of the Seine
River flood regime under climate change’ (Evolution potentielle du régime des crues de
la Seine sous changement climatique) (2011) Houille Blanche, (1), pp. 51-57.
See also a vulgarization of these results for a wider audience: Habets F., J. Boé, M.
Déqué, A. DucHarne, S. Gascoin, A. HacHour, E. Martin, C. Pagé, E. Sauquet, L.
Terray, D. Thiéry, L. Oudin , P. Viennot, S. Therry: ‘Impact du changement climatique
sur les ressources en eau du bassin versant de la Seine, fascicule du PIREN-Seine’,
.
6. Vidal, J.-P., Martin, E., Baillon, M., Franchistéguy, L. et Soubeyroux, J.-M. (2010a),
‘SAFRAN 50-year high-resolution meteorological renalysis over France’. International
Journal of Climatology, 30 (11), 1627–1644. DOI : 10.1002/joc.2003
7. Vidal, J.-P., Martin, E., Franchistéguy, L., Habets, F., Soubeyroux, J.-M., Blanchard,
M. et Baillon, M. (2010b), ‘Multilevel and multiscale drought reanalysis over France
with the Safran-Isba-Modcou hydrometeorological suite’. Hydrology and Earth System
Sciences, 14(3), 459-478. DOI : 10.5194/hess-14-459-2010
8. Soubeyroux, J.-M., Kitova, N., Blanchard, M., Vidal, J.-P, Martin, E., Dandin, P.
(2012), ‘Sécheresse des sols en France et changement climatique’. La Météorologie,
N°78, Aug. 2012, in press.
9. Vidal, J.-P., Martin, E., Kitova, N., Najac, J. & Soubeyroux, J.-M. (2012) ‘Evolution
of spatio-temporal drought characteristics: validation, projections and effect of
adaptation scenarios’. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, in press.
Authors’ affiliations:
Philippe Dandin, François Besson, Michèle Blanchard, Jean-Pierre Céron, Laurent
Franchistéguy, Fabienne Rousset-Regimbeau, Jean-Michel Soubeyroux, Météo-France,
Direction de la Climatologie
Martine Baillon, Météo-France, Direction de la Climatologie and Ministry of Ecology,
Sustainable Development and Energy, Service Central d’Hydrométéorologie et d’Appui à
la Prévision des Inondations (SCHAPI, French National Hydrometeorological and Flood
Forecasting Centre)
Jean-Philippe Vidal, Météo-France, Direction de la Climatologie and IRSTEA, UR
HHLY, Unité de Recherche Hydrologie-hydraulique
Stéphanie Singla, Météo-France, Direction de la Climatologie and Centre National de
Recherches Météorologiques (CNRM), Météo-France and CNRS (Centre National de
la Recherche Scientifique)
Eric Martin, Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques (CNRM), Météo-France
and CNRS (Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)
Florence Habets, CNRS, UMR Sisyphe UPMC, Mines ParisTech
Building the Seasonal Streamflow Forecasting Service
1. Australian Government Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT) (2008),
About Australia – Water, Australian Government.
env_glance.html
2. Robertson, D.E. and Q.J., Wang (2009), Selecting predictors for seasonal
streamflow predictions using a Bayesian joint probability (BJP) modelling approach.
18th World IMACS/MODSIM Congress, Modelling and Simulation Society of
Australia and New Zealand Inc., Cairns.
MODSIM2009.pdf
3. Tuteja, N.K., Shin, D., Laugesen, R., Khan, U., Shao, Q., Wang, E., Li, M., Zheng,
H., Kuczera, G., Kavetski, D., Evin, G., Thyer, M., MacDonald, A., Chia, T. and B.
Le (2011), Experimental evaluation of the dynamic seasonal streamflow forecasting
approach, Technical Report, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne. http://www.
forecasting.pdf
4. Perkins, J., Jayasuriya, D., Peatey, T., Plummer, N., Robertson, D., Schepen, A.,
Shin, D., Wang, Q.J., Zhou, S. and C. Hawksworth (2011), Seasonal Streamflow
Forecasts - an operational service. WIRADA Science Symposium, Melbourne.
5. Wang, Q.J., Robertson, D.E. and F.H.S. Chiew (2009), A Bayesian joint probability
modelling approach for seasonal forecasting of streamflows at multiple sites, Water
Resources Research, 45.
6. Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO (2011), Water Information Research and
Development Alliance Annual Report 2010-11.
publications/document/wirada_annual_report_2010-11.pdf
Further reading:
Jayasuriya, D., Peatey, T., Plummer, N., Elliott, J., Perkins, J., Sooriyakumaran, S.,
Wang, Q. and S. Zhou (2011), Streamflow and water availability forecasts - exploring
the needs of water managers and the community. 34th IAHR World Congress, 26
June - 1 July 2011, Brisbane, QLD: International Association of Hydro-Environment
Engineering and Research.
Plummer, N., Tuteja, N., Wang, Q.J., Wang, E., Robertson, D., Zhou, S., Schepen,
A., Alves, O., Timbal, B. and K. Puri (2009), A Seasonal Water Availability Prediction
Service: Opportunities and Challenges. 18th World IMACS/MODSIM Congress,
Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand Inc., Cairns.
MODSIM09_v7_1.pdf
Robertson, D.E. and Q.J. Wang (2008), An investigation into the selection of predictors
and skill assessment using the Bayesian joint probability (BJP) approach to seasonal
forecasting of streamflows. CSIRO: Water for a Healthy Country National Research
Flagship.
Identifying local climate impacts on weather and water
1. Available from www.nws.noaa.gov/om/csd/index.php?section=meetings.
2. Livezey, Robert E. and others (2007). Estimation and Extrapolation of Climate
Normals and Climatic Trends. Journal of Applied Meteorology and. Climatology, vol.
46, pp. 1759-1776. Available from
3. Huang, Jin, Huug M. van den Dool, and Anthony G. Barnston (1996). Long-
Lead Seasonal Temperature Prediction Using Optimal Climate Normals. Journal
of Climate, vol. 9, pp. 809-817. Available from
0442(1996)009<0809:LLSTPU 2
4. NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook of Statistical Methods (2012). Section 6.3.2.4.
EWMA Control Charts. Available from
pmc/section3/pmc324.htm.
An integrated climate service for the transboundary river basin and coastal
management of Germany
1. The Federal Government. 2008. German Strategy for Adaptation to Climate Change adopted
by the German Federal Government on 17/12/2008, see
application/pdf/das_gesamt_en_bf.pdf
2. IPCC. 2007: Fourth Assessment – Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science
Basis. Contribution of Working Group I of the Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) of
the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning,
M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M., Miller, H. L. (eds.)). Cambridge
University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 996 S.
3. Nilson, E., Perrin, C., Beersma, J., Carambia, M., Krahe, P., De Keizer, O. And Görgen
K. 2010a. Evaluation of data and processing procedures. In: Görgen, K., Beersma,
J., Brahmer, G., Buiteveld, H., Carambia, M., De Keizer, O., Krahe, P., Nilson, E.,
Lammersen, R., Perrin, C. And Volken, D. 2010. Assessment of climate change impacts
on discharge in the Rhine River Basin: Results of the RheinBlick2050 Project. CHR Report
No. I-23. pp. 51-95. Download at:
4. Görgen, K., Beersma, J., Brahmer, G., Buiteveld, H., Carambia, M., De Keizer, O.,
Krahe, P., Nilson, E., Lammersen, R., Perrin, C. And Volken, D. 2010. Assessment
of climate change impacts on discharge in the Rhine River Basin: Results of the
RheinBlick2050 Project. CHR Report No. I-23. Download:
CHR_I-23.pdf
5. ICPR. 2011. Study of Scenarios for the Discharge Regime of the Rhine. Report
188. Download:
Reports/188_e.pdf
6. CCNR. 2011. Changement climatique et navigation rhénane. Session d’automne
2011. Resolutions adoptees. Annex.
Download:
7. Holzwarth, F. (2012): Übergreifende Strategien der Bundesregierung zur
Anpassung an die Folgen des Klimawandels. Gewässerschutz, Wasser, Abwasser 230,
ISBN 978-3938996-36-2. pp. 28/1-7.
The Danube River Basin climate adaptation strategy
1. ICPDR (2011): “The Danube River Basin: Facts & Figures”. Official publication of
the ICPDR.
2. ICPDR (1994): “Convention on Cooperation for the Protection and Sustainable use
of the Danube River (Danube River Protection Convention)“.
3. European Commission (2000): “Directive 2000/60/EC of the European Parliament
and of the Council establishing a framework for the Community action in the field of
water policy”. Official Journal (OJ L 327).
4. European Commission (2007): “Directive 2007/60/EC of the European Parliament
and of the Council on the assessment and management of flood risks”. Official
Journal (OJ L288/27).
5. ICPDR (2009): “Danube River Basin District Management Plan Part A – Basin-wide
overview”. Document number IC 151.
6. ICPDR (2004): “Flood Action Programme - Action Programme for Sustainable
Flood Protection in the Danube River Basin”.
7. ICPDR (2010): “Danube Declaration” – adopted at the Ministerial Meeting,
February 16, 2010. Danube Basin: Shared Waters – Joint Responsibilities.
8. Ludwig-Maximilians-Universitat Munich, Germany, Chair of Geography and
Geographical Remote Sensing – Department of Geography, (2012): “Danube Study
– Climate Change Adaptation”, available for download at
pages/climate_adaptation_study.htm
9. United Nations – UNECE (2009): “Guidance onWater and Adaptation to Climate Change”.
Notes and References