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Society needs ‘ecosystem forecasts’ in the same way it depends

on weather forecasts. For example, viruses like Hantavirus, carried

by mice, infect humans through exposure to rodent droppings.

Ecological observing systems can help track where and when mice

carrying this virus may appear and put humans at risk.

The quality of ecosystem forecasts will improve with an under-

standing of how the Earth system operates. Resource managers

make decisions that affect ecosystems for decades. Good forecasts

of the consequences of these choices will lead to better-informed

management of our coasts, rivers and lakes, forests, and agricul-

tural lands.

NSF-supported land-based observatories also measure environ-

mental parameters near areas prone to earthquakes and volcanic

eruptions. For example, the US EarthScope, a vast network of

geologic sensors, tracks the motions of Earth’s surface, records

seismic waves, and provides scientists with a way to recover rock

samples from deep beneath the Earth where earthquakes originate.

Last year, EarthScope instruments installed on the flanks of the

Augustine Volcano in Alaska revealed a steady increase in earth-

quakes beneath the volcano. EarthScope recorded Augustine’s

eventual eruption, as well as an ash plume that extended more

than 40,000 feet high, forcing jets to alter their routes as they trav-

elled to and from Asia. Only with permanent observing stations,

like EarthScope, can scientists monitor a volcano’s ‘breathing’ as

it shrinks and swells with the movement of magma inside.

Through a related system, NSF’s Network for Earthquake Engineering

Simulation (NEES), engineers and scientists are performing research

on the effects of earthquakes on people, soils, buildings, and infra-

structure like bridges. NEES facilities are a network through which

real-time simulations of earthquakes can be conducted and their conse-

quences to society observed.

NSF-supported environmental observing systems

for the seas

While NEON, EarthScope and NEES are land-based

projects; NSF’s Ocean Observatories Initiative (OOI)

will gather continuous observations from near-shore

and remote areas of the seas, providing the basis for a

new understanding of the ocean. OOI will allow scien-

tists to probe the depths, and give them access to

long-term measurements of the ocean and the seafloor.

High-tech ocean observatories supported by NSF,

located in places like the depths of California’s

Monterey Bay, will give insight into issues such as how

nutrients like nitrogen make their way from near-shore

areas to the deep-sea and back again.

A network of global, regional, and coastal ocean

observatories, OOI will be linked to the internet via

seafloor cables and satellites. Through OOI, marine

scientists will address questions such as: How does

climate change impact ocean ecosystems, including

declining fisheries and increasing harmful algal

blooms? And how can ocean-bottom seismic readings

give us early warnings of the undersea earthquakes

that precede tsunamis?

NSF-supported environmental observing systems

for the polar regions

Global warming is having a speedy and significant

impact on the polar regions. Arctic sea ice cover reached

a record minimum in September, 2007, and ice sheets

and glaciers are melting with great speed. Waters

flowing through melt channels, or moulins, in

The US EarthScope Network

EarthScope is a vast network of geologic sensors that track the motions of Earth’s surface, record seismic waves, and provide scientists with a way to

recover rock samples from deep beneath the Earth

Source: EarthScope

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