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daptation
and
M
itigation
S
trategies
cal assessments to assist in developing effective data and information
management, analysis, and sharing.
Meeting climate variability challenges
The challenges to integrating DRR, especially longer-term DRR,
with public policy and planning are immense. In the near-term,
interannual fluctuations (like ENSO) complicate matters. In the
longer-term, uncertainties compound, making characterization
of intertwined multi-sectoral human-environment systems more
difficult. Consequently, the assessment and communication of
risk are more difficult, too. However, we can and must draw
on the results of work done in the context of DRR to integrate
climate and weather information into decision making, to build
human relationships and strengthen information networks, to
conceptualize risk holistically and contextually, and to link
research, technology and practice in service of human sustain-
ability. Taking these steps helps decision makers, communities,
and individuals produce and access relevant data and analyses,
and will help them see hazards, weather and climate as part of the
everyday context rather than the extraordinary. The same steps
will help increase available options and choices for mitigation
and adaptation at multiple scales.
The DRR challenges presented by climate change and variability
cannot be met by individuals or even organizations working alone.
Understanding this, PDC has taken action to find ways to facilitate
teamwork at the highest level.
In 2008, PDC organized an Expert Working Group Meeting on
Climate Change and Variability: Shifting Risks, hosted by the East-
West Center. Three Nobel laureates and many highly respected
urban planners, disaster managers and researchers from various
disciplines convened to discuss gaps in knowledge and practice,
and identify areas of potential progress and partnership. A year
later, PDC is collaborating with Nobel Laureate Dr Nguyen Huu
Ninh to establish an International Program on Climate Change and
Variability Risk Reduction (IP-CVR).
The IP-CVR includes an international advisory panel to guide
its direction and establish a framework of activities; an expert
network representing private and public organizations that will
exchange information, develop networks, and engage in coop-
erative projects and applied research; and a ‘Collaboratorium’
– a forum and knowledge base on climate variability. The
Collaboratorium, which has already been prototyped, provides
a web-enabled space for sharing data and information sources,
research, project and programme ideas, and practical applica-
tions. The goal is to synchronize efforts and create synergies
between widely different approaches to the applied science of
climate variability and DRR – resulting in more effective practices
and policies.
One IP-CVR pilot project is a risk and vulnerability assessment
of Ho Chi Minh City, in which PDC and Dr Nguyen Huu Ninh will
engage programme partners. It will integrate analyses of sea-level
rise and coastal flooding, ENSO-related variability in precipitation
and riverine flooding, as well as the area’s vulnerability and capac-
ity, including social, economic, and environmental measures. The
project results will provide vital information for urban planning and
development processes.
Other current and near-future PDC projects will also increase
both IP-CVR engagement and the programme’s knowledge-based
strength.
Making connections
Climate change and variability cannot reasonably be
ignored in any discussion of how individuals, communi-
ties or organizations can reduce future losses. However,
that does not mean it is necessary to completely
reconfigure established thinking or abandon familiar
activities. We can build on structures and activities
developed under existing DRR initiatives.
Risk reduction and research activities associated with
climate change and variability should not be considered
as somehow separate from DRR, but as a key compo-
nent of both near-term and longer-term approaches to
disaster risk reduction and human security. Near-term
activities affect longer-term options.
Increased connectivity – through globalization
and the communication technologies that underpin
it – works to shift and magnify the risks and impacts
of hazards. However, those underlying connections
present opportunities as well. The central operational
mechanism of the IP-CVR is connectivity. It builds
on PDC’s experience in developing relationships and
technology to facilitate access to hazard and risk related
information. The Collaboratorium raises connectivity
to a new level by taking advantage of social networking
technology to facilitate both relationship building and
information sharing.
By building open human networks, focused on the
applied science of climate change and variability, the
IP-CVR:
• Encourages a comprehensive conceptualization of
risk
• Advances applied science and practice in climate
and risk reduction
• Eases mutual access among people working on any
given issue from multiple disciplines
• Facilitates thinking and acting outside the box
• Helps identify common goals
• Streamlines activities, and reduces duplication and
funding competition
• Enables access to local knowledge
and observations
• Has potential to improve data collection
• Increases the reach of individuals and organizations
and the distribution of information
• Builds human and technology networks that can be
activated during an extreme event.
The IP-CVR components all aim to facilitate network
building and information sharing as ways to foster adap-
tation, increasing flexibility and responsiveness while
developing a common knowledgebase. IP-CVR will
support development, for all its participants and constit-
uents, of the capacity to deal with change, improve the
range of options to leverage and promote actions to influ-
ence policy. In the context of trusted experience and in
conjunction with the entire International Program on
Climate Change and Variability Risk Reduction, the
common knowledge base is central to the development
of a new kind of common sense: real climate sense.