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[

] 132

The Global Climate Observing System

as the observational foundation

for climate services

John W. Zillman, Chairman, Global Climate Observing System Steering Committee

F

or more than 100 years, international cooperation in the

collection of meteorological observations has enabled

National Meteorological Services (NMSs) around the

world to keep their local communities informed on the changing

patterns of weather and climate. Increasingly integrated obser-

vation of the atmospheric, oceanic, and terrestrial domains of

the global climate system since the establishment of the World

Climate Programme (WCP) in the wake of the First World

Climate Conference in 1979 has underpinned the past 30 years

of remarkable progress towards the understanding, modelling

and prediction of climate on global, regional and national scales.

The Global Climate Observing System (GCOS), which was

established – following the Second World Climate Conference

(WCC-2) in 1990 – by the World Meteorological Organization

(WMO), the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission

(IOC) of UNESCO, the United Nations Environment Programme

(UNEP) and the International Council for Science (ICSU),

will provide the essential observational founda-

tion for the new world climate services system

that is expected to emerge from World Climate

Conference-3.

The basic concept of operation for an NMS providing

weather and climate services at the national level has

been well understood for a long time.

1

In addition the

end-to-end service provision architecture from obser-

vations through data collection, processing, modelling,

prediction and service delivery and application was

well reflected at the international level in the 1960s and

1970s by the WMO World Weather Watch.

2

The same overall end-to-end architecture of the

traditional NMS and the World Weather Watch is

equally valid for the provision of the much wider range

of climate services now becoming both possible, as a

result of integrated observation and modelling of the

climate system, and necessary, as a result of the increas-

ing worldwide focus on climate risk management and

adaptation to climate change.

The WCP was established in 1979 with four compo-

nents:

• World Climate Data Programme (WCDP)

• World Climate Applications Programme (WCAP)

• World Climate Research Programme (WCRP)

• World Climate Impacts Programme (WCIP).

3

The first two of these were strongly service and appli-

cations focused, with the third aimed at providing

the scientific basis for climate prediction in support

of, among other things, the eventual introduction

of climate prediction services at the national level

in WMO Member countries. By the time of the

WCC-2 in 1990, however, it had become clear that

the observational foundation to support the WCRP,

and especially the increasingly wide range of climate

information, monitoring and prediction services, was

severely inadequate and deteriorating and that there

was an urgent need for a greatly strengthened global

climate observing system.

In the light of the conclusions of the WCC-2,

WMO and three of its WCP cosponsoring partners

O

bserving

, P

redicting

and

P

rojecting

C

limate

C

onditions

An integrated climate observation and service system

Social and Economic benefits

OCEAN

ATMOSPHERE

LAND

ADAPTATION

MITIGATION

SERVICE PROVISION

DATA MANAGEMENT

(Collection, assimilation) RESEARCH & MODELLING

OBSERVATION

APPLICATION APPLICATION

APPLICATION APPLICATION

APPLICATION

UNFCC (POLICY)

GCOS (OBSERVATIONS)

WORLD

CLIMATE

SERVICES

SYSTEM

(WCSS)

IPCC (ASSESSMENT)

WCRP (RESEARCH)

The end-to-end operation of an integrated climate observation, research and

service system, which delivers social and economic benefits by informing

decision making in a range of climate sensitive application sectors