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[

] 86

E

nvironment

:

air

,

water

,

oceans

,

climate

change

near-permanent basis, so the number of permanently designated

MPAs gives a limited picture of the extent of conservation in

Icelandic waters.

Efforts in preventing pollution and conserving biodiversity in the

ocean need to be expanded, while sustainable development requires

us to look further at the opportunities offered by huge expanses of

sea. Well over a third of the ice-free part of dry land is used for agri-

culture, but a growing human population, with an increased appetite

for meat and other animal protein, demands increased food produc-

tion. In 2050 there will be more than 9 billion people inhabiting

Earth and we need about 70 per cent more food than we currently

produce to feed them and eliminate hunger. This intensifies pres-

sure on rainforests and wetlands, along with other important and

productive land-based ecosystems.

Capture fisheries now provide a little over 80 million tons of fish

from the sea, the importance of which should not be overlooked.

To produce meat for replacing annual fish landings would require

almost 140 million km

2

of grazing land, which is more than 20 times

all the rainforests on the planet.

Improvements in the way fisheries are managed might increase

this yield, but it seems unlikely they can expand significantly, so

it is worth ensuring poor management does not cause them to

shrink further. We have learned that fisheries must

take account of the biosphere as a whole to avoid

disrupting food chains and vulnerable ecosystems, or

overexploiting resources. We must use the right tools in

creating the right incentives for long-term stewardship

of resources. Lifecycle assessments show that captur-

ing wild fish is highly energy-efficient in comparison to

raising land animals and produces only a fraction of the

GHGs generated by animal husbandry.

In contrast to the reduction in landing captured fish,

the rise in aquaculture has been remarkable and now

constitutes almost 50 per cent of all fish intended for

human consumption. There is no reason to believe

aquaculture cannot continue its growth, relieving

pressure on both capture fisheries and land use for

food production. While fish farming has occurred for

millennia, large-scale aquaculture is a recent phenom-

enon with concerns that need addressing, from

pollution to sustainable feeding of farmed fish. Despite

these challenges, it is likely the oceans hold the great-

est promise in achieving sufficient and sustainable

food production.

Seas – the future

Image: Hugi Ólafsson